Tuesday, August 2

3 QUAKES IN INDONESIAN TARGET AREAS SO FAR

Since Stan Deyo's warning yesterday, USGS have recorded 3 significant quakes in the three areas in Indonesia identified as being at high risk. None caused damage or tsunamis and all were less than magnitude 6.0

Region SULAWESI, INDONESIA Magnitude 5.3
Date-Time Sunday, July 31, 2005 at 22:06:53 (UTC)= Coordinated Universal Time
Monday, August 1, 2005 at 6:06:53 AM= local time at epicenter
Location 0.063°S, 123.750°E
Depth 95.8 km (59.5 miles) set by location program

Region WEST COAST SUMATRA Magnitude 4.9
Padang residents felt a substantial shake about 2017 last night. I was driving in the car and did not notice. Friends told me.... they were rather excited since they had just read the warning. The epicentre was just west of Nias.

Now this one:
A magnitude 5.9 earthquake IN BANDA SEA has occurred at:
4.01S 128.81E Depth 22km Tue Aug 2 08:39:54 2005 UTC

Time: Universal Time (UTC) Tue Aug 2 08:39:54 2005
Time Near Epicenter Tue Aug 2 17:39:54 2005

These 3 quakes can not yet be considered proof that Mr Deyo's predictions are ready for public consumption but this result adds credence to the theory that thermal anomolies are linked to seismic activity . Since the target areas suggested have recently been highly active, there is a correspondingly high likelyhood that a quake will occur in any one of them during an given 72 hr period. The chance of a quake occuring all three is, however, a lot lower.

The warning period extends for another 48 hrs. ELM has asked Mr Deyo to pay close attention to our operations area. ELM's Nias field team are returning to Padang tonight.

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